Often, I talk to people who believe that the best way to invest is
to continuously try to find investments that are outperforming all the rest, and
that diversification hurts performance because you may own “losers” as well as
“winners”. Aside from the fact that most academic research shows the extreme
difficulty in continuously choosing only the best performers over longer periods
of time, consider this:
Of the
following two hypothetical investments, which would you rather
own?
High Volatility Lower Volatility
Initial Investment $100,000 $100,000
Period 1 Return 50% 10%
Ending Value $150,000 $110,000
Period 2 Return -50% -10%
Ending Value $75,000 $99,000
Total Return -25% -1%
Initial Investment $100,000 $100,000
Period 1 Return 50% 10%
Ending Value $150,000 $110,000
Period 2 Return -50% -10%
Ending Value $75,000 $99,000
Total Return -25% -1%
In the recent downturn, some of the strongest sectors
are also some of the weakest year to date or over the last year.
Owning assets that may move in
different directions can reduce volatility in a portfolio and may also increase
return over time. Studies have shown that if you
combine non-correlated assets (assets that don’t always move in the same
direction) you can create a portfolio that has a higher return than any of the
included assets individually, with volatility that is greatly reduced.
Volatility can become more damaging when you are
withdrawing assets from a portfolio. Being forced to sell an investment after it
has dropped in value to fund the required withdrawal can greatly reduce
long-term returns. Having some less volatile assets in a portfolio that can be
sold to create the needed liquidity may give you the time needed for a volatile
asset to recover.
Matching your long-term target
return with the amount of risk you are willing to take helps you build an
investment portfolio that can reduce volatility and make more sense within the
structure of an overall plan. Targeting risk adjusted returns that are
designed specifically for you to reach your own real life financial goals can
give you a clearer (and less volatile) roadmap to
success.
Volatility can become more damaging when you are
withdrawing assets from a portfolio. Being forced to sell an investment after it
has dropped in value to fund the required withdrawal can greatly reduce
long-term returns. Having some less volatile assets in a portfolio that can be
sold to create the needed liquidity may give you the time needed for a volatile
asset to recover.
Matching your long-term target
return with the amount of risk you are willing to take helps you build an
investment portfolio that can reduce volatility and make more sense within the
structure of an overall plan. Targeting risk adjusted returns that are
designed specifically for you to reach your own real life financial goals can
give you a clearer (and less volatile) roadmap to
success.
written by Albert
J. Bartolomeo, CFP®
Broad Reach Wealth Management